Theranto V3 EA — AUDCAD M15 Mean-Reversion with 84% Verified Win Rate

Theranto V3 is a MetaTrader 4 Expert Advisor trading AUDCAD on the M15 timeframe using a mean-reversion approach to capture short-term price inefficiencies between the two commodity-linked currencies.

A live account on real capital reached 196% growth from a $500.90 deposit across 79 trades, with an 86.08% win rate and 35.3% peak drawdown over 13 weeks of verified trading.

Theranto V3 was developed by Hossein Davarynejad.

• Vendor website: View here

Key Benefits

• ✅ Win Rate: 86.08% confirmed on a live real-money account — achieved with a 35.3% peak drawdown that requires adequate capital buffer to absorb.
• ✅ Strategy: Exploits short-term mean-reversion in the AUDCAD pair — correlated commodity currencies that tend to revert after divergence, but alignment breaks down during commodity shock events.
• ✅ Recovery Strength: Recovery factor of 5.79 on live data means the EA earned back drawdown efficiently — though 13 weeks is not enough history to confirm this holds across a full market cycle.
• ✅ Backtest Depth: 99.90% modeling quality across 16+ years of AUDCAD M15 data confirms the strategy logic is not curve-fitted to a short window — at the cost of a 16.96% max drawdown during that span. Compare EA strategies

Theranto V3 Performance

Live account results are tracked on Myfxbook — view the verified signal at Myfxbook (Theranto v3 Live 2).

The live account opened at $500.90 and reached $1,482.61 (196% growth) across 79 trades over 13 weeks on an Eightcap real account, with an 86.08% win rate and 35.3% peak drawdown.

A 99.90% modeling quality backtest on AUDCAD M15 covering October 2007 to January 2024 — 16+ years — shows a 2.61 profit factor, 84.35% win rate, and 16.96% maximum drawdown on a $500 starting deposit.

Performance Snapshot

The live peak drawdown of 35.3% is the number that requires the most attention here. The 16-year backtest produced a maximum drawdown of 16.96% — the live account nearly doubled that figure in just 13 weeks, which tells you the strategy’s drawdown profile is sensitive to current market conditions, not just structural to the backtest. The gap is most likely explained by a sustained directional trend in AUDCAD overriding mean-reversion signals — when commodity currencies move together in one direction for an extended period rather than oscillating, entries against the trend accumulate open loss before reversing.

This is a partial weakness: the mean-reversion premise remains structurally intact when AUDCAD oscillates within range, but it becomes a liability during prolonged CAD or AUD macro divergence. Reducing position sizing or setting a tighter equity stop directly addresses exposure during these periods — classification requires 90-day demo testing to confirm which specific configuration keeps live drawdown consistent with the backtest range.

The live account covers 13 weeks of real-money trading — a verified start, but not enough history to confirm a full drawdown cycle or performance across CAD/AUD macro events; your broker’s spread and execution will also shift these figures.

How Theranto V3 Works

Mechanism: Theranto V3 targets short-term mean-reversion in AUDCAD on the M15 timeframe. Both currencies share commodity-linked fundamentals — AUD to metals, CAD to oil — which creates frequent short-lived divergences that statistically revert. The 16-year backtest across multiple commodity cycles validates the pattern persists through different macro regimes, though correlated commodity shocks that push both currencies in the same direction reduce the frequency of clean reversal setups.

Signal Trigger: Specific entry conditions are not publicly documented in available materials. The M15 timeframe and mean-reversion mechanism indicate the EA responds to intrabar price displacement from a central value — exact indicator thresholds are embedded in the EA logic.

Position Close: Average holding time on the live account is 1 day, consistent with a fixed take-profit target per trade rather than a trailing mechanism. The backtest shows an average profit trade of significantly higher magnitude than an average loss trade in absolute pip terms (11,792 gross profit pips vs 3,104 gross loss pips across 6,548 trades).

Exposure Limits: Maximum consecutive losses on the live account reached only 2 trades (-$41.03), and maximum deposit load reached 14.8% — indicating the EA does not pyramid open positions aggressively. Specific equity stop or max basket settings are not documented in available data.

✅ Optimal conditions: AUDCAD oscillating within a defined range; low-spread environment (backtest spread set at 10 points); stable commodity market without strong directional bias in either AUD or CAD.

⚠️ Avoid when: Sustained macro divergence between AUD and CAD (e.g., sharp oil rally driving CAD directionally while AUD lags); broker spreads significantly exceeding 10 points on AUDCAD during news events.

This EA requires MT4 (build 1421 confirmed). Need MT5 platform support? Browse MT5 EAs

Recommended Settings

Who Should Use Theranto V3

• ✅ Running MT4 on a VPS with a live or demo account at an ECN broker offering AUDCAD with spreads consistently at or below 10 points.
• ✅ Capitalized at $500 minimum — and comfortable holding through drawdowns up to 35% without intervening, based on the live account’s demonstrated peak.
• ✅ Willing to run 90 days of demo testing before going live, to confirm drawdown behavior matches your broker’s specific spread and execution conditions.
• ✅ Trading a single-pair strategy — Theranto V3 is documented on AUDCAD only; traders needing multi-pair diversification in one EA will need a different solution.

Performance verified with: Real-money account on Eightcap (EightcapLtd-Real-4), ECN execution, $500.90 starting capital.

Product Download Package Includes

• ✅ Experts:
  • Theranto V3 (.ex4)
• ✅ Setfiles:
  •  MAX RISK 500$.set
  •  FTMO SETTTING 3% Max DD.set
  •  LOW RISK No martingale 25% Max DD.set

The download link will be sent to your email immediately after purchase, along with a video tutorial on how to install it.

Frequently Asked Questions